We are in the very early stages of the Oscar race. This year is unusual because only industry insiders have seen the big films such as Doubt, Revolutionary Road, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button and The Reader. Last year at this time four of the five eventual Oscar nominees for Best Picture (No Country for Old Men, Juno, Atonement, and Michael Clayton) had already premiered at TIFF, Venice, or Cannes. This year we have only had Slumdog Millionaire and The Dark Knight unspool on us, so it really is quite difficult to determine which will be big and which will turn into Oscar turkeys.
The next couple of weeks will be key as the first three critic awards will be revealed as will The Golden Globe nominations and critics top ten lists. Will Revolutionary Road be this year’s frontrunner? Will Meryl Streep score nom #15 and win #3? Who will get pushed out of the very crowded Best Actor and Actress races? Could Heath Ledger win a posthumous Oscar?
It’s so fun to speculate and take total stabs in the dark. Right now anything is possible but within days we will have a clearer picture. However, until then here are my most recent predictions:
Best PictureThe Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Revolutionary Road
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
The Dark Knight
Best ActorClint Eastwood in Gran Torino
Frank Langella in Frost/Nixon
Mickey Rourke in The Wrestler
Leonardo Dicaprio in Revolutionary Road
Sean Penn in Milk
Best ActressMeryl Streep in Doubt
Kristin Scott Thomas in I've Loved You So Long
Kate Winslet in Revolutionary Road
Cate Blanchett in The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Anne Hathaway in Rachel Getting Married
Best Supporting ActorJosh Brolin in Milk
Heath Ledger in The Dark Knight
Michael Shannon in Revolutionary Road
Philip Seymour Hoffman in Doubt
Ralph Fiennes in The Reader
Best Supporting ActressKate Winslet in The Reader
Teraji P. Henson in The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Penelope Cruz in Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis in Doubt
Debra Winger in Rachel Getting Married
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