Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Golden Globes and Unsolved Mysteries of the Oscar Race.


The Golden Globe nominations are released tomorrow and it is a day I have been looking forward to as a self proclaimed Oscar prognosticator. Why do I look forward to Golden Globe morning like it were Christmas morning? It's because when the 80 member Hollywood Foreign Press decides their nominations they essentially put certain movies in their Oscar graves.

Currently there are many movies floating around in 2007 Oscar contender limbo. They are on the periphery of many insiders predictions and effective tomorrow many of these movies will either enter the race or raise a white flag and surrender to their fate as non-factors. It will be interesting to see what happens with 3:10 to Yuma and American Gangster. I never saw these films as contenders but if they score tomorrow, then obviously they are on the radar. Will The Savages be remembered in the packed comedy categories? What about The Kite Runner? The largest mystery of the entire Oscar season is Mike Nichols' Charlie Wilson's War. Is it a comedy or drama? Will it even factor at all? It stars Tom Hanks & Julia Roberts and the Golden Globes are whores for celebrities, meaning they will always nominate a celebrity over a fantastic performance from an unknown.

The crystal ball will become much clearer tomorrow, but until then, here are my predictions:

Best Picture- Drama

Atonement
No Country for Old Men
Michael Clayton
American Gangster
There Will Be Blood

Best Picture- Musical or Comedy

Sweeney Todd
Juno
Hairspray
Knocked Up
Once

Best Actor – Drama

James McAvoy – “Atonement”
George Clooney – “Michael Clayton”
Daniel Day Lewis – “There Will Be Blood”
Denzel Washington – “American Gangster”
Brad Pitt –“The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford”

Best Actor in a Musical or Comedy

Johnny Depp – “Sweeney Todd”
Seth Rogen- “Knocked Up”
Ryan Gosling – “Lars and the Real Girl”
Jack Nicholson – ‘The Bucket List”
Morgan Freeman – “The Bucket List”

Best Actress – Drama

Angelina Jolie – “A Mighty Heart”
Keira Knightley – “Atonement”
Julie Christie – “Away from Her”
Jodie Foster – “The Brave One”
Cate Blanchett – “Elizabeth: The Golden Age”

Best Actress in a Musical or Comedy

Marion Cotillard – “La Vie En Rose”
Amy Adams – “Enchanted”
Ellen Page – “Juno”
Nikki Blonsky – “Hairspray”
Kathryn Heigl – “Knocked Up”

Best Supporting Actor

Hal Holbrook – “Into the Wild”
Casey Affleck – “The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford”
Javier Bardem – “No Country for Old Men”
John Travolta – “Hairspray”
Tom Wilkinson – “Michael Clayton”

Best Supporting Actress

Tilda Swinton – “Michael Clayton”
Jennifer Garner – “Juno”
Amy Ryan –“Gone Baby Gone”
Cate Blanchett – “I’m Not There”
Catherine Keener – “Into the Wild”

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